Stuck at the Start, 50 Years On: Youth unemployment and exclusion in a low-growth
9 June 2026
Renewable energy transition: Embrace public and private ownership
8 June 2026
Boxed in: National interests and local relations in the port-city of Durban
27 May 2026
SA’S transition to renewables needs public and private ownership if it’s to be successful
22 May 2026
New Research | Understanding the future labour market: a microsimulation and distributive analysis
This report examines how South Africa’s energy transition toward a low-carbon economy could reshape the labour market and inequality dynamics. Using an integrated macro–micro simulation approach, it links employment projections from the SATIM computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to household-level data through a microsimulation model.
New Research | Towards a comprehensive social protection system for a Just Transition in South Africa
Despite South Africa’s carbon-intensive economy, research suggests that decarbonisation could result in net employment gains, provided the economy continues to grow (IASS, IET and CSIR, 2022; Merven et al., 2021; Rogan et al., forthcoming). While these projections are encouraging, the early distributional effects of emission reductions are likely to be unequal, with Black African workers, women and youth disproportionately at risk of job displacement during the initial years of the transition (Rogan et al., forthcoming).
New Research | Strengthening skills for a Just Transition: recommendations to support collaboration
South Africa’s commitment to a Just Transition entails an inclusive and equitable shift to a low-carbon economy that addresses both high carbon emissions and persistent inequality. Central to this is the need to facilitate economic diversification, social inclusion and environmental sustainability. Skills development is a critical enabler in preparing the current and future workforce for this transition, ensuring that no one is left behind. This strategic analysis was undertaken to inform the Presidential Climate Commission’s (PCC) role in supporting skills development for the Just Transition, by identifying key areas for strategic collaboration.
